MCA DCA7101 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

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PROGRAM MCA

SEMESTER III

COURSE CODE & NAME DCA7101 – PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

SET-I

 

  1. Bag I contain 3 red and 4 black balls and Bag II contain 4 red and 5 black balls. One ball is transferred from Bag I to Bag II and then a ball is drawn from Bag II. The ball so drawn is found to be red. Find the probability that the transferred ball is black.

Solution: Step -1: Consider all possible events for transferring balls.

Given that,

Bag I contains 3 red and 4 black balls.

Bag II contains 4 red and 5 black balls.

Let E1, E2, E3, E, be events such that,

E1: Both transferred balls from Bag I to Bag II are red.

E2:

 

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  1. A random variable has the following probability distribution
X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
P(X=x) 0 a 2a 2a 3a a^2 2a^2 7a^2 + a

 

Find

(i) the value of ‘a’

(ii) P [1.5<X<4.5/ X>2]

(iii) E(X)

(i)

Solution: Since it is a probability distribution, so, sum of all probabilities must be 1

 

 

  1. The daily earning of a vendor for a period of 43 days are given below
Daily earning (Rs.)

 

118-

126

 

127-

135

 

136-

144

 

145-

153

 

154-

162

 

163-

171

 

172-

180

 

No. of days 3 8 9 12 5 4 2

 

 

Calculate Standard Deviation and coefficient of variation.

Solution:

 

Daily earnings f x fx (x-x̄) F(x- x̄) f(x- x̄)2
118-126 3 122 366 -23.86 -71.58 1707.90
127-135 8 131 1048 -14.86 -118.88 1766.56
136-144 9 140 1260 -5.86 -52.74 309.06
145-153 12 149 1788 3.14 37.68 118.32
154-162 5 158 790 12.14 60.7 736.90
163-171 4 167 668 21.14 84.56 1787.60
172-180 2 176 352 30.14 60.28 1816.84
  Fx=43   ∑fx=6272     ∑f(x- x̄)2=8243.18

 

Mean x̄=

 

SET-II

 

  1. Suppose that a manufactured product has 2 defects per unit of product inspected. Using Poisson’s distribution, calculate the probabilities of finding a product without any defect, 3 defects, and 4 defects. (Given)

Solution:

Given:

A manufactured product has 2 defects per unit of product inspected

To find:

The probabilities of finding a product with

  • out any defect

 

 

  1. Compute the regression equation of Y on X and regression equation of X on Y on the basis of the following information
  X Y
Mean 40 45

 

Standard Deviation 10 9

 

The correlation coefficient between X and Y is 0.50. Also estimate the value of Y for X = 48, using the appropriate regression equation.

Answer:

 

Given that,

The line of regression fo

 

 

 

  1. The following data relate to the prices and quantities of 4 commodities in the years 1982 and 1983. Construct the following index numbers of price for the year 1983 by using 1982 as base year.

(i) Laspeyre’s Index

(ii) Paasche’s Index

(iii) Fisher’s Index

 

Commodit Y

 

1982 1983

 

Price Quantity Price Quantity
A 5 100 6 150
B 4 80 5 100
C 2.5 60 5 72
D 12 30 9 33

 

Solution:

Commodit Y

 

1982 1983

 

P1q0 P0q0 P1q1 P0q1
Price(P0) Quantity(Q0) Price(P1) Quantity(Q1)
A 5 100 6 150 600 500 900 750
B 4 80 5 100 400 320 500 400
C 2.5 60 5 72 300 150 360 180
D 12 30 9 33 270 360 297 396
Total 1570 1330 2057 1726